Sunday, December 18, 2016

An Oriole without a Roost

We are coming up on the end of the year and most of the big-name free agents have inked new deals.  As the rumors continue to swirl, most of the remaining top targets fall into the same general market of right-handed power-hitters that either fit at first base, corner outfield, or designated hitter.  Everyone seems to be talking about Edwin Encarnacion, Mark Trumbo, and Jose Bautista and the potential domino effect into names like Mike Napoli, Chris Carter, and the rest of the market below.  There is one all-star that the rumor wheel has been rather quiet about.

Matt Wieters was one of the first players to accept a qualifying offer after last season and came back from Tommy John surgery with a season that garnered him a fourth all-star selection.  He was not eligible for another qualifying offer and therefore is not tied to a draft pick, but there really are not many teams looking for a primary catcher.  The Blue Jays, Cardinals, Dodgers, Giants, Indians, Pirates, Rangers, and Royals all have stud veteran catchers in place.  The Mariners, Marlins, Mets, Phillies, Red Sox, and Yankees all have talented young catchers that are expected and long-term fixtures behind the plate.

Even though the rumors about Wieters have been minimal, there have been quite a few teams that have already made moves for catchers.  Wilson Ramos was the top catching target after having a career year that landed him a 2-year deal with Tampa Bay despite recovering from a torn ACL that may prevent him from being available on Opening Day.  After losing Ramos, the Nationals traded for Derek Norris from the Padres.  Wieters’s former team, the Orioles, just signed Welington Castillo to be their starter instead of continuing with Wieters for a 9th consecutive year.  The Astros landed Brian McCann in free agency and traded Jason Castro to be the starter in Minnesota.  The Brewers and Angels also completed a trade this week to swap Martin Maldonado, the new projected starter in Los Angeles, and Jett Bandy, who will split time with Andrew Susac in Milwaukee.  After removing those teams, although the Angels/Brewers deal may not preclude them from moving on Wieters, there are only nine remaining landing spots for the former Oriole backstop.

The White Sox may be the team with the biggest need a catcher.  Their current situation is a platoon between Omar Narvaez and Kevan Smith.  Those two only combined for only 117 at-bats last season with the bulk of the workload going to Alex Avila and Dioner Navarro, who are both currently free agents.  However, the White Sox have been selling off all of their high-priced players and rebuilding their farm system this offseason, so they would be less likely to spend the money on Wieters.

The Tigers could be the best fit.  They have James McCann, who has proven to be a top defender that the positon.  However, McCann has been significantly better against left-handed pitching in his career.  The switch-hitting Wieters has put up fairly balanced splits in his career.  He has tended better against lefties in his career, but was better against right-handers last season and the two previous that we shortened by his elbow surgery.  The Tigers have been in talks to move some of their high-priced talent, but still have a strong offense in place and could still be looking to win in 2017.

The Rockies have been making moves and rumored to have more on the horizon.  They brought in Ian Desmond and have been rumored to be in talks with Encarnacion and Trumbo.  The front office has announced that they are comfortable with the platoon they have in place with Tony Wolters and Tom Murphy, but if they are looking to make a run in 2017, the addition of a switch-hitting catcher with pop from both sides of the plate could be a significant upgrade.

The Cubs and Diamondbacks both have interesting situations at catcher.  The Cubs have young phenom Willson Contreras projected as the starter.  However, Contreras is lacking in defensive ability and can also be used at first base and in the outfield.  Wieters is a strong defender that could solidify the catching position, but he also has a high price tag for part-time catcher.  The Diamondbacks will likely go with a platoon between Chris Herrmann and Jeff Mathis.  Herrmann is similar to Contreras in that he can also play the corners on the infield and in the outfield.  This situation could be one to carry three catchers with Herrmann’s utility, but again, the price for Wieters is high to be splitting time three ways.

The remaining teams would all get an improvement at catcher with the acquisition of Wieters, but are less likely to really be potential suitors.  Atlanta, Cincinnati, Oakland, and San Diego are all in the process of rebuilding.  Wieters and his high price tag would be unlikely to be paid as an upgrade over Tyler Flowers and Anthony Recker in Atlanta or the platoon of Bruce Maxwell and Josh Phegley in Oakland.  Cincinnati still has Devin Mesoraco, but his health has been inconsistent throughout his career.  San Diego has top prospect Austin Hedges that could use a veteran presence around him, but they may not want to pay for Wieters to be his tutor.

Wieters has been a fixture as the backstop in Baltimore for his entire career.  He made his 4th all-star roster in 2016, which is tied with Russell Martin, Salvador Perez, and Buster Posey and is only behind Brian McCann and Yadier Molina (each with 7) among active catchers.  He has a well-rounded set of tools and can be the everyday catcher wherever he ends up.


NOTE: As I was writing this article, there were rumors beginning to swirl that Wieters was likely to sign with the Nationals.  He would be an upgrade despite their previous acquisition of Derek Norris.